Economics

Chartist

Published Apr 6, 2024

Definition of Chartist

A chartist, also known as a technical analyst, is an individual who relies on the use of charts and graphs of historical price movements, volumes, and other market indicators to predict future market behavior. Chartists believe that market trends and patterns tend to repeat over time and that these can be identified through technical analysis. This approach stands in contrast to fundamental analysis, where investors make decisions based on company performance, industry conditions, and economic factors.

Example

Imagine Jane, a stock market trader, who identifies herself as a chartist. Every day, she reviews numerous charts showing the price movements of various stocks over the last months and years. By applying technical indicators, such as moving averages and relative strength index (RSI), she attempts to predict future price movements. For instance, she notices that a particular stock has consistently risen after falling to a specific support level three times in the past year. Assuming the pattern will repeat, Jane decides to buy the stock as it approaches this support level again, hoping to sell it for a profit once it increases in value.

Why Chartist Methodology Matters

The chartist perspective is significant in the financial markets for several reasons. First, it provides a systematized approach to trading and investment that is solely based on market data, without the need for understanding the underlying financial health of the entities involved. This makes it applicable across different markets and assets. Secondly, technical analysis and charting can be used to identify short-term trading opportunities, making it very popular among day traders and swing traders. Lastly, even fundamental analysts may use technical analysis to time their entry and exit points more effectively, demonstrating the complementary nature of these two approaches.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Can chartist methodology predict all market movements?

No, chartist methodology cannot predict all market movements. The financial markets are influenced by a myriad of factors, including economic indicators, political events, and investor sentiment, which can all result in unforeseen price movements. While chartists can identify patterns and trends that may suggest probable future movements, there is always a risk of unpredictability that can lead to losses.

How does the chartist viewpoint differ from fundamental analysis?

Chartism, or technical analysis, differs from fundamental analysis in its approach to predicting market movements. While chartists focus on patterns within price movements and trading volumes to forecast future trends, fundamental analysis looks at economic, financial, and other qualitative and quantitative factors to evaluate a security’s intrinsic value. Essentially, chartists are more concerned with “what” will happen based on past market behavior, whereas fundamental analysts focus on “why” something will happen based on a company’s performance and economic factors.

What are some common tools or indicators used by chartists?

Chartists use a variety of tools and indicators to analyze and predict market behavior. Some of the most common include:

  • Moving Averages: Used to smooth out price data over a specified period to detect trends.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
  • Support and Resistance Levels: These are price points on a chart that tend to act as barriers, preventing the price of an asset from getting pushed in a certain direction.
  • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price.
  • Candlestick Patterns: Used to predict future market movements based on the past behavior of prices within a specific timeframe.

These tools, among others, provide chartists with insights into market psychology, helping them make informed trading decisions.