Economics

Forward And Futures

Published Apr 29, 2024

Definition of Forward and Futures Contracts

Forward and futures contracts are types of derivative instruments that are used for hedging purposes, speculation, or to lock in a price to avoid the volatility of market prices. Though similar in concept, they have distinct features that differentiate them from each other.

A forward contract is a customized contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a specified price on a future date. These contracts are traded over-the-counter (OTC), meaning they are negotiated directly between the parties and not traded on an exchange. As a result, they can be tailored to any commodity, amount, and settlement process agreed upon by the parties involved.

A futures contract, on the other hand, is a standardized agreement to buy or sell a specific asset of standardized quantity and quality for a price agreed upon today (the futures price) with delivery and payment occurring at a specified future date, the delivery date. Futures contracts are traded on exchanges, which act as a marketplace between buyers and sellers. The standardization of futures contracts means they are well-suited for being traded on a secondary market.

Examples

Consider a farmer who expects to harvest 1,000 bushels of wheat in six months. To protect against a decline in prices, the farmer can enter a forward contract with a bread manufacturer to sell the wheat at a fixed price upon harvest. This contract is specific to their agreement and might include special terms regarding the quality or delivery process of the wheat.

Alternatively, suppose an investor believes that the price of oil will rise in the next three months. The investor could buy a futures contract for oil at today’s price, anticipating selling it at a higher price in the future. The contract would detail the specific quantity of oil (e.g., 1,000 barrels) and its quality, and it would be traded on a commodities exchange where the contract terms are standardized.

Why Forward and Futures Matter

Forward and futures contracts are crucial tools for price risk management in various sectors, including agriculture, finance, and energy. By locking in prices, producers and consumers can protect themselves against price fluctuations, reducing uncertainty and allowing for better financial planning. Moreover, they serve as essential tools for speculation, where traders can profit from price movements without the need for physical possession of the underlying asset.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What are the main differences between forward and futures contracts?

The main differences lie in their trading venues (OTC vs. exchange), standardization (customized vs. standardized), and counterparty risk (with forward contracts bearing more risk). Futures contracts also involve daily settlement through a process known as marking to market, while forwards only have one final settlement at the end of the contract.

What is counterparty risk and how does it differ between forwards and futures?

Counterparty risk refers to the possibility that one party in the agreement will default on its contractual obligation. This risk is higher in forward contracts since they are private agreements and lack the central clearinghouse that futures contracts have, which guarantees the contract’s performance.

How do traders benefit from futures contracts without intending to take delivery of the physical goods?

Traders can speculate on price movements of the underlying asset by buying or selling futures contracts. If the price moves in their favor, they can close their position by entering into an opposite trade before the contract expires, thus realizing their profits (or minimizing losses) without ever taking delivery of the physical commodity.

Are there any limitations or risks associated with trading forwards and futures?

While forwards and futures can hedge against price volatility, they come with their own risks, including market risk (the loss potential due to market price changes) and liquidity risk (especially for forward contracts which may be harder to reverse or offset). Additionally, leveraging (trading with borrowed funds) in futures can amplify both gains and losses, posing a significant risk to traders.

The use of forward and futures contracts reflects the complex financial strategies entities use to navigate market volatilities, hedge against future price uncertainties, and speculate for profits. Understanding these instruments is fundamental for participants in many industries, from agriculture to finance, highlighting their indispensable role in global markets.