Economics

Strauss–Howe Generational Theory

Published Mar 22, 2024

Definition of Strauss–Howe Generational Theory

The Strauss–Howe generational theory, proposed by authors William Strauss and Neil Howe in their book “Generations” (1991), is a social-historical framework that identifies a recurring pattern in Anglo-American history of generational change. According to this theory, the history of a society unfolds in a predictable cycle of roughly 80 to 100 years which Strauss and Howe call a ‘saeculum’, consisting of four generational archetypes—Prophets, Nomads, Heroes, and Artists—that respond differently to historical events over time. Each archetype brings its own unique set of social norms, attitudes, and behaviors, which interact with those historical events, producing a new social, political, and economic climate.

Example

To illustrate the Strauss–Howe generational theory, consider the “Silent Generation” (born approximately 1925 to 1942). This generation corresponds to the Artists archetype, who are children during a High, come of age during an Awakening, and enter midlife during an Unraveling. They’re known for their collective caution, conformity, and focus on social order and cohesion. They grew up during the economic downturn of the Great Depression and the turmoil of World War II, which shaped their approach to life and work.

Following the Silent Generation is the “Baby Boomer” generation, aligned with the Prophets archetype. Boomers came of age during a time of societal Awakening in the 1960s and 1970s, characterized by civil rights movements, anti-war protests, and a push for personal liberation.

These generational shifts impact everything from politics, culture, economics, to the overall zeitgeist of a society. Each generation reacts to the circumstances of its upbringing—such as war, economic conditions, social changes—in a pattern that repeats every four generations.

Why Strauss–Howe Generational Theory Matters

The importance of the Strauss–Howe generational theory lies in its potential to offer predictive insights into societal trends, political shifts, and economic cycles. By understanding the characteristics and behaviors of each generational archetype, leaders, policymakers, and organizations can better anticipate changes in public attitudes and preferences.

For instance, recognizing that a new generation of Heroes (similar to the G.I. Generation that fought in World War II) is coming of age can help predict a period of rising civic engagement and collective action. Conversely, understanding that we are in a period of an Awakening can prepare us for a time of intense cultural and spiritual reform.

This theory also provides a framework for marketing, workforce management, and policy development, allowing organizations to tailor their approaches to the values and attitudes of the current or upcoming generational cohort.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Has the Strauss–Howe Generational Theory been widely accepted or criticized?

The Strauss–Howe generational theory has both proponents and critics. Some scholars and historians have criticized the theory for oversimplification, asserting that the neat categorization of generations overlooks the diversity within a population. Others question the predictive power of the theory, arguing that historical events are too complex to fit into a predictable cycle. However, supporters find value in the theory’s broad strokes approach to understanding societal changes, arguing that it offers useful insights into generational dynamics and their impact on history.

Can the Strauss–Howe Generational Theory be applied globally?

While the Strauss–Howe generational theory is primarily focused on Anglo-American history, its basic principles about generational shifts theoretically could apply to other cultures and societies, albeit with variations. Different countries and regions have their unique historical events and cultural contexts that would influence how generational archetypes manifest. Therefore, applying the theory outside the Anglo-American context requires careful consideration of local histories and societal structures.

How can the Strauss–Howe Generational Theory be used in practical contexts?

Organizations and policymakers can use the Strauss–Howe generational theory to better anticipate societal trends and prepare for future demands. For example, marketers might use generational analysis to tailor their campaigns to resonate with the values of a particular age cohort. Employers can use insights from the theory to address the needs and expectations of a multigenerational workforce, optimizing communication and collaboration across age groups. Similarly, policymakers can consider generational attitudes and behaviors when crafting legislation and public services that meet the evolving needs of the population.

Understanding the generational theory aids in appreciating the nuanced ways historical events and eras shape individual attitudes and societal structures, prompting a more informed approach to managing change and preparing for the future.